Skip to main content

Oxford have been the Kings of Late Drama since Robinson arrived

Games between Oxford and Portsmouth are rarely without drama. But this weekend's clash at a blustery Kassam Stadium was particularly action infused. 

Yet the dramatic finish has almost become the norm this season. 

Not only was this the fourth 3-2 Oxford have been involved in (three of them coming in League One), but it was another instance of United scoring late to snatch three points from a major competitor. 

These late goals have become something of a habit, and has been ever since Robinson took charge of the Us. 

Games at the Kassam are not ones to leave early at the moment, as only Wigan Athletic (13) have scored more goals in the last ten minutes plus injury time than Oxford (12) in League One this season. 

Late goals scored in League One 2021-22

That remains the case when extending it to all of England's top four divisions. 

Late goals scored in England's top four divisions 2021-22

Oxford have been excelling in the closing stages well before this season, though.

In the 2020-21 campaign, only Sunderland (19) scored more goals than Oxford (18) in the last ten minutes plus injury time, with the next best clubs on that list, Rochdale and Peterborough, only registering 14. 

The season before, only Doncaster (14) scored more than United (11), with the shortened season responsible for the lower figures. 

2018-19 was less packed with late drama for Oxford, with six teams scoring more goals in the final stages, and the same was true for the 2017-18 season. 

Since Robinson became head coach partway through the 2017-18 season, though, United have regularly been the source of late drama. 

Even in Robinson's early years as Oxford boss, when United languished in the bottom half of the table, they were comfortably in the top ten for late goals scored. 

As United have started challenging towards the top of the league, the character Robinson has instilled in the team has shone through.

Over the last two seasons, no side in England's top four divisions have scored more goals after the 80th minute than Oxford, with Sunderland in second five goals behind them. 

Late goals in England's top four divisions over the last two seasons

Robinson's side just don't know when to stop, with Saturday's result bringing back memories of last season's 3-2 wonder victory over Gillingham. 

This doesn't mean Oxford are immune to conceding late themselves, however. 

United have conceded a combined 15 goals in the closing ten minutes plus injury time over the past two seasons, putting them roughly midtable in League One. 

Goals conceded after the 80th minute in the last two League One seasons (including only teams in the division both years)

With this flurry of evening drama, it is no surprise that Oxford are earning the nicknames as the entertainers of League One.

Fortunately for Robinson, Oxford often end up coming out on the right side of these dramatic late finishes, and this has been crucial in propelling them up the division. 

The result against Portsmouth was the fourth time Oxford have scored in the final 10 minutes plus injury time to earn three points this season, those results coming against Portsmouth, Doncaster and Sheffield Wednesday (twice). Oxford beat MK Dons, meanwhile, in the 79th minute. 

Excluding Doncaster, those teams are all competing with Oxford at the top end of the table, albeit Portsmouth are currently dwindling in the bottom half. This is 12 points Oxford have taken off competitors with late winners. 

Perhaps the reason for this abundance of late goals is the impact Oxford's substitutes can make. 

United have always been blessed with strong difference makers, probably a result of Karl Robinson's obsession with wingers. 

Over the past two seasons, four of the top ten most impactful substitutes in League One (judged by goals and assists off the bench) have been Oxford players. 

Those four players - Sam Winnall (four goals, one assist), Olamide Shodipo (four goals, one assist), Dan Agyei (three goals, three assists) and James Henry (three goals, one assist) - have contributed fourteen goals and eight assists off the bench, a remarkable number and indicative of the strength of Robinson's substitutions. 

No other players in the top ten for substitute's impact play for the same club.

Most goal involvements off the bench in League One since the start of the 2020-21 season

Nathan Holland appears to be picking up the baton now. 

He grabbed the winner against Pompey having been thrown on just before the hour mark, and also scored what looked like the winner in the 85th minute against Burton in the EFL cup earlier this season, having been sent on in the 70th minute. 

It is not purely the personnel that drives Oxford's late game success, though. Rather it is Robinson's effervescent personality and relentless desire to attack, which has clearly worn off on his players. 

As much as Robinson may be cast as an undynamic and emotionally driven coach, he clearly knows what subs to make and when to make them, often knowing how to change the momentum of a game late on. 

This is proving crucial in earning Oxford big points against the teams around them. 

If Oxford can keep up their current rate of a late goal scored once every two-and-a-half games, they are sure to be in and about the promotion push this season. 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Scouting Potential Wingers

Oxford's comfortable victory at Oxford City was played in the background of an increasingly urgent situation in the transfer market.  After slow progress so far, Robinson will be hoping for several more incomings in the next few weeks, or his squad will be looking very thin when they travel to Pride Park at the end of the month.  Unsurprisingly for Robinson, one of his main priorities seems to be strengthening wide areas, where he suggested Oxford are looking to bring in another three players .  We've used data scouting to analyse some possible wingers Oxford could target, looking at their strengths and weaknesses to show how they would fit into this United side.  This is the second in a series of scouting reports, and for information on some of the techniques we'll be using during the piece, check out our scouting report on potential centre back signings .  Josh Martin  Norwich City LW/RW 20 Possible Transfer Type: Permanent Josh Martin finished last sea...

The 'Oxford way' wins through against brutish Northampton

An early Christmas present was offered to Oxford in the form of out of shape Northampton on Tuesday night. Four goals, three points and a clean sheet an almost perfect way for Karl Robinson’s men to head into the festive period. Although it was an injury and suspension-hit Northampton side, great credit does have to be given to Robinson’s men whose desire to stick to their game plan led to an emphatic second half performance.   With the Cobblers taking much of the pace out of the game in the first period, it looked as though Oxford would be sucked into a physical battle with Keith Curle's men – not a good sign when playing the team who have won the second most aerial duels in the division.   And this showed in the first 45, as Northampton dominated in most aerial statistics, stopping United getting any momentum in the game.  During the First Half A change in momentum United set about rectifying this in the second half, and the intensity of their passing and moveme...

Oxford vs Swindon: Pre Match Stats Pack

Without fans, some games at the Kassam this season have been accused of feeling like an EFL Trophy match on a Tuesday night. Not this one though. This is Oxford United vs Swindon Town. The game that needs no introduction, but here’s one anyway.   It’s the first meeting between the rivals since February 2017 in a season where Swindon dropped to a lower division than Oxford for the first time since 1987. But times have certainly changed since that season when John Aldridge top scored for United, as Oxford haven’t lost a league match to their friends down the motorway for more than fifteen years.   They will come into this one in high spirits as well after finally putting some chances away in midweek, putting three past MK Dons to gain their second win of the season to take some pressure off a poor start. Its been the reverse for the Robins who have lost their last five matches in all competitions after what was a promising start to life back in the third tier. Swindo...